Fave Five

Fave Five (2/19/2016)

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Fave Five (2/19/2016)

Our Fave Five essentially represents a listing of stocks with favorable short term total return forecasts (1 year, according to Analyst Consensus Estimates, or ACE) combined with strong long-term return forecasts and good/excellent quality rankings.

The Fave Five This Week: Stifel Financial (SF), Astronics (ATRO), Aaron’s (AAN), Argan* (AGX) and Inteliquent (IQNT).

Context: The median 1-year total return forecast (via ACE) for the Value Line 1700 is 27.0%. The median 5-year return forecast (MIPAR) is 9.0% (annualized).

The Long and Short of This Week’s Fave Five

Number of analysts covering in parentheses.

Weekend Warriors

The relative return for the Weekend Warrior tracking portfolio is +1.6% since inception. 54.1% of selections have outperformed the Wilshire 5000 since original selection.

Here are some links to fairly recent monthly stock features, Round Table discussions and/or analysis updates for companies in the tracking portfolio:

  • Aaron’s (AAN)
  • Apple (AAPL)
  • Biogen (YouTube video: BIIB discussion starts at 21:45 of the session)
  • Forward Air (FWRD)
  • Stericycle (SRCL) Feb-2014 Round Table nomination by Nick Stratigos (starts at 18:33 of session)

Tracking Dashboard: https://www.manifestinvesting.com/dashboards/public/weekend-warriors

Fave Five (2/12/2016)

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Fave Five (2/12/2016)

Our Fave Five essentially represents a listing of stocks with favorable short term total return forecasts (1 year, according to Analyst Consensus Estimates, or ACE) combined with strong long-term return forecasts and good/excellent quality rankings.

The Fave Five This Week: Stifel Financial (SF), Oceaneering Intl (OII), Jazz Pharmaceuticals (JAZZ), The Ensign Group* (ENSG) and Biogen IDEC (BIIB).

Context: The median 1-year total return forecast (via ACE) for the Value Line 1700 is 26.4%. The median 5-year return forecast (MIPAR) is 10.4% (annualized).

The Long and Short of This Week’s Fave Five

Weekend Warriors

The relative return for the Weekend Warrior tracking portfolio is +1.4% since inception. 55.6% of selections have outperformed the Wilshire 5000 since original selection.

Here are some links to fairly recent monthly stock features, Round Table discussions and/or analysis updates for companies in the tracking portfolio:

  • Apple (AAPL)
  • Biogen (YouTube video: BIIB discussion starts at 21:45 of the session)
  • Forward Air (FWRD)
  • Stericycle (SRCL) Feb-2014 Round Table nomination by Nick Stratigos (starts at 18:33 of session)

Tracking Dashboard: https://www.manifestinvesting.com/dashboards/public/weekend-warriors

Fave Five (2/5/2016)

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Fave Five (2/5/2016)

Our Fave Five essentially represents a listing of stocks with favorable short term total return forecasts (1 year, according to Analyst Consensus Estimates, or ACE) combined with strong long-term return forecasts and good/excellent quality rankings. This week’s Top One Percenters are PRA Group* (PRAA), Astronics (ATRO), Inteliquent (IQNT), and Aaron’s (AAN).

Context: The median 1-year total return forecast (via ACE) for the Value Line 1700 is 25.8%. The median 5-year return forecast (MIPAR) is 9.2% (annualized).

The Long and Short of This Week’s Fave Five

Weekend Warriors

The relative return for the Weekend Warrior tracking portfolio is +1.3% since inception. 50.0% of selections have outperformed the Wilshire 5000 since original selection.

Here are some links to fairly recent monthly stock features, Round Table discussions and/or analysis updates for companies in the tracking portfolio:

  • Apple (AAPL)
  • Forward Air (FWRD)
  • Stericycle (SRCL) Feb-2014 Round Table nomination by Nick Stratigos (starts at 18:33 of session)

Tracking Dashboard: https://www.manifestinvesting.com/dashboards/public/weekend-warriors

Fave Five (1/29/2016)

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Fave Five (1/29/2016)

This week’s Fave Five is a tribute to the letter “A”. Apple, Aunt Annie’s Alligator, A, A, A. (Can you tell we have a 15-month-old grandson?)

Our Fave Five essentially represents a listing of stocks with favorable short term total return forecasts (1 year, according to Analyst Consensus Estimates, or ACE) combined with strong long-term return forecasts and good/excellent quality rankings. This week’s Top One Percenters are Akamai Tech (AKAM), Apple (AAPL), Astronics (ATRO), Alliance Data Systems (ADS), and PRA Group (PRAA).

Context: The median 1-year total return forecast (via ACE) for the Value Line 1700 is 26.4%. The median 5-year return forecast (MIPAR) is 9.5% (annualized).

The Long and Short of This Week’s Fave Five

Weekend Warriors

The relative return for the Weekend Warrior tracking portfolio is +2.2% since inception. 57.6% of selections have outperformed the Wilshire 5000 since original selection.

Here are some links to fairly recent monthly stock features, Round Table discussions and/or analysis updates for companies in the tracking portfolio:

  • Apple (AAPL)
  • Forward Air (FWRD)
  • Stericycle (SRCL) Feb-2014 Round Table nomination by Nick Stratigos (starts at 18:33 of session)

Tracking Dashboard: https://www.manifestinvesting.com/dashboards/public/weekend-warriors

Fave Five (1/22/2016)

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Fave Five (1/22/2016)

This week’s Fave Five includes (4) repeat selections and one recent favorite, the #1 ranked company in this year’s Best Small Companies listing a couple of months ago.

Our Fave Five essentially represents a listing of stocks with favorable short term total return forecasts (1 year, according to Analyst Consensus Estimates, or ACE) combined with strong long-term return forecasts and good/excellent quality rankings. This week’s Top One Percenters are Apple (AAPL), Cognizant Technology (CTSH), Forward Air (FWRD), F5 Networks (FFIV), and Under Armour (UA).

Context: The median 1-year total return forecast (via ACE) for the Value Line 1700 is 32.0%. The median 5-year return forecast (MIPAR) is 9.9% (annualized).

The Long and Short of This Week’s Fave Five

Weekend Warriors

The relative return for the Weekend Warrior tracking portfolio is +2.6% since inception. 60.0% of selections have outperformed the Wilshire 5000 since original selection.

Here are some links to fairly recent monthly stock features, Round Table discussions and/or analysis updates for companies in the tracking portfolio:

  • Apple (AAPL)
  • Forward Air (FWRD)
  • Stericycle (SRCL) Feb-2014 Round Table nomination by Nick Stratigos (starts at 18:33 of session)

Tracking Dashboard: https://www.manifestinvesting.com/dashboards/public/weekend-warriors

Fave Five (1/15/2016)

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Fave Five

Stock prices continue to drop faster than the one-year price targets — resulting in a slightly higher overall target for the Value Line 1700 for the next year.

But it’s a work in progress as the reductions continue to suggest eroding expectations. To provide some graphic clarity, we just checked the 1-year outlook with the 100 highest 1-year total return projections among the Value Line 1700 — and updated them. Approximately 20 were unchanged. ONE increased. (ESV) So that means 79% of those companies updated (many of them updated very, very recently) declined.

From a long-term perspective, this likely matters little. But it does suggest that analyst consensus expectations for the next year are continuing to erode … and that will not be helpful when it comes to short-term sentiment.

We’ll be watching the 4Q2015 earnings results as they unfold — and hoping for signs of strength.

Our Fave Five essentially represents a listing of stocks with favorable short term total return forecasts (1 year, according to Analyst Consensus Estimates, or ACE) combined with strong long-term return forecasts and good/excellent quality rankings. This week’s Top One Percenters are Aaron’s (AAN), Akamai Technologies (AKAM), Synaptics (SYNA), Under Armour (UA) and Apple (AAPL).

Context: The median 1-year total return forecast (via ACE) for the Value Line 1700 is 26.8%. The median 5-year return forecast (MIPAR) is 9.5% (annualized).

The Long and Short of This Week’s Fave Five

Weekend Warriors

The relative return for the Weekend Warrior tracking portfolio is +0.9% since inception. 53.3% of selections have outperformed the Wilshire 5000 since original selection.

Here are some links to fairly recent monthly stock features, Round Table discussions and/or analysis updates for companies in the tracking portfolio:

Tracking Dashboard: https://www.manifestinvesting.com/dashboards/public/weekend-warr

Fave Five (1/8/2016)

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Fave Five

Our first Fave Five for 2016 — in the face of staggering downside pressure — are five stocks with solid long-term perspectives … relatively stable profitability trends and expectations … and top shelf financial strength. They essentially represent a listing of stocks with favorable short term total return forecasts (1 year, according to Analyst Consensus Estimates, or ACE) combined with strong long-term return forecasts and good/excellent quality rankings. This week’s Top One Percenters are Scripps Networks (SNI), Stericycle (SRCL), Cognizant Technology (CTSH), Priceline (PCLN) and Apple (AAPL).

Context: The median 1-year total return forecast (via ACE) is 18.0%. The median 5-year return forecast (MIPAR) is 9.4% (annualized).

The Long and Short of This Week’s Fave Five

Weekend Warriors

The relative return for the Weekend Warrior tracking portfolio is +0.9% since inception. 53.3% of selections have outperformed the Wilshire 5000 since original selection.

Here are some links to fairly recent monthly stock features, Round Table discussions and/or analysis updates for companies in the tracking portfolio:

Tracking Dashboard: https://www.manifestinvesting.com/dashboards/public/weekend-warriors

Fave Five (12/28/2015)

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Fave Five

Here are five stocks that could be studied over the Christmas holidays. They essentially represent a listing of stocks with favorable short term total return forecasts (1 year, according to Analyst Consensus Estimates, or ACE) combined with strong long-term return forecasts and good/excellent quality rankings. This week’s Top One Percenters are Team Health (TMH), Hain Celestial (HAIN), Dick’s Sporting Goods (DKS), Under Armour (UA) and Apple (AAPL).

Context: The median 1-year total return forecast (via ACE) is 21.0%. The median 5-year return forecast (MIPAR) is 7.7% (annualized).

The Long and Short of This Week’s Fave Five

  • Team Health (TMH) is the supplier of outsourced healthcare professional staffing and administrative services to hospitals and other healthcare providers in the United States.

Weekend Warriors

The relative return for the Weekend Warrior tracking portfolio is +0.1% since inception.

Here are some links to fairly recent monthly stock features, Round Table discussions and/or analysis updates for companies in the tracking portfolio:

  • Apple (AAPL)
  • Stericycle (SRCL) Feb-2014 Round Table nomination by Nick Stratigos (starts at 18:33 of session)

Tracking Dashboard: https://www.manifestinvesting.com/dashboards/public/weekend-warriors

Fave Five (12/18/2015)

expectingalpha Stocks , , , , ,

Fave Five

Here are five stocks that could be studied going into the weekend. They essentially represent a listing of stocks with favorable short term total return forecasts (1 year, according to Analyst Consensus Estimates, or ACE) combined with strong long-term return forecasts and good/excellent quality rankings. This week’s Top One Percenters are Inteliquent (IQNT), Team Health (TMH), Skyworks Solutions (SWKS), Magellan Midstream Partners (MMP) and Apple (AAPL).

Context: The median 1-year total return forecast (via ACE) is 18.3%. The median 5-year return forecast (MIPAR) is 8.3% (annualized).

  • Inteliquent (IQNT) was one of the more successful Round Table selections of the past few years as the company has rebounded from severe lows.
  • Team Health (TMH) is the supplier of outsourced healthcare professional staffing and administrative services to hospitals and other healthcare providers in the United States.
  • Magellan Midstream Partners (MMP) is embroiled in the oil patch wars. The company is engaged in the transportation, storage and distribution of refined petroleum products.

Weekend Warriors

The relative return for the Weekend Warrior tracking portfolio is -0.2% since inception.

Here are some links to fairly recent monthly stock features, Round Table discussions and/or analysis updates for companies in the tracking portfolio:

  • Apple (AAPL)
  • Stericycle (SRCL) Feb-2014 Round Table nomination by Nick Stratigos (starts at 18:33 of session)

Tracking Dashboard: https://www.manifestinvesting.com/dashboards/public/weekend-warriors

Fave Five (12/11/2015)

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Fave Five

Here are five stocks that could be studied going into the weekend. They essentially represent a listing of stocks with favorable short term total return forecasts (1 year, according to Analyst Consensus Estimates, or ACE) combined with strong long-term return forecasts and good/excellent quality rankings. This week’s Top One Percenters are Five Below (FIVE), Akamai Technologies (AKAM), Jazz Pharmaceuticals (JAZZ), Bank of Nova Scotia (BNS-TO) and Cognizant Technology (CTSH).

Context: The median 1-year total return forecast (via ACE) is 18.2%. The median 5-year return forecast (MIPAR) is 7.9% (annualized).

  • Five Below (FIVE) is a retailer that offers a broad range of merchandise targeted at the teen and pre-teen customer. All products are priced at $5 or below. Its products are in the following category worlds: Style, Room, Sports, Media, Crafts, Party, Candy, and Now. And here we pause to catch our breath because many investors are loathe to consider fad-sensitive apparel-related stocks. (1) We’ll only retain in the tracking portfolio for as long as it makes sense to do so. Consider it a prenuptial promise. (2) If you need a reminder about why this might make sense, see: And The Children Shall Lead Us… — note the returns to shareholders from some of these retail companies that we often avoid. (3) Five Below was featured prominently among our 50 Best Small Companies for 2016 holding down the #38 position.
  • Akamai Technologies (AKAM) provides cloud services for delivering, optimizing and securing online content and business applications. It provides its services to improve the delivery of content and applications over the Internet.
  • Cognizant Technology (CTSH) is an old friend to most of us by now. The company is a provider of information technology, consulting and business process outsourcing services. Its core competencies include Business, Process, Operations and IT Consulting, Application Development and Systems Integration, Enterprise… CTSH is the second most widely-followed company by our subscribers (AAPL is still #1) and was added to the MANIFEST 40 on 12/15/2008. (CTSH has beaten the market by +22.9% — annualized — since then.)

Weekend Warriors

The relative return for the Weekend Warrior tracking portfolio is +2.5% since inception.

Here are some links to fairly recent monthly stock features, Round Table discussions and/or analysis updates for companies in the tracking portfolio:

  • Apple (AAPL)
  • Stericycle (SRCL) Feb-2014 Round Table nomination by Nick Stratigos (starts at 18:33 of session)

Transactions

Skyworks Solutions (SWKS) was removed, or “sold” from the tracking portfolio after beating the market by 10 percentage points over the last few weeks. The SWKS PAR had dropped below our Sweet Spot.

Tracking Dashboard: https://www.manifestinvesting.com/dashboards/public/weekend-warriors

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