Fave Five (6/8/2018)
Our Fave Five essentially represents a listing of stocks with favorable short term total return forecasts (1 year, according to Analyst Consensus Estimates, or ACE) combined with strong long-term return forecasts and good/excellent quality rankings. The median 1-year ACE total return forecast is 12.0%.
Three weeks ago we went “bottom fishing.” This week, we’ll do the same thing but stop before hitting bottom. In this case, as we stacked up the companies with the highest 52-week total return expectations (ACE) and required a minimum MANIFEST Rank of 80, audits on a number of the leaders crushed them. Stocks that we’ve previously featured tanked and the 5-7 highest ranked stocks failed to make the list on further scrutiny.
The Long and Short of This Week’s Fave Five
Long & Short Term Perspectives. (June 8, 2018) Projected Annual Return (PAR): Long term return forecast based on fundamental analysis and five year time horizon. Quality Ranking: Percentile ranking of composite that includes financial strength, earnings stability and relative growth & profitability. 52-Week Position: Position on scale between 52-week low price and 52-week target price. VL Low Total Return (VLLTR): Low total return forecast based on 3-5 year price targets via Value Line Investment Survey. Morningstar P/FV: Ratio of current price to fundamentally-based fair value via www.morningstar.com S&P P/FV: Current price-to-fair value ratio via Standard & Poor’s. 1-Year ACE Outlook: Total return forecast based on analyst consensus estimates for 1-year target price combined with current yield. The data is ranked (descending order) based on this criterion. 1-Year S&P Outlook: 1-year total return forecast based on S&P 1-year price target.
Fave Five Legacy (Tracking Portfolio)
The relative/excess return for the Fave Five tracking portfolio is +2.8% since inception.
The absolute annualized rate of return is 18.2%.
Tracking Dashboard: https://www.manifestinvesting.com/dashboards/public/fave-five