Round Table (November 2016)

November Round Table

Our Round Table, a monthly session featuring our favorite stock ideas right now in true round table fashion, was held November 29.

Stocks Discussed

  • CVS Health (CVS)
  • Infosys Tech (INFY)
  • Mercadolibre (MELI)

The stocks selected for this program over the last six years have collectively beaten the Wilshire 5000. The excess return (annualized) has been ranging from 2-3%. We seek actionable opportunities to study and pursue.

The agenda will also include a continuation of our selling decision concept based on relative return.

The round table knights include small company champion and Mid-Michigan Director Ken Kavula; Cy (MythBuster) Lynch; pharmaceutical scientist Hugh McManus; and Manifest Investing’s Mark Robertson who will analyze their favorite stocks. Guest damsels have included Anne Manning, Susan Maciolek and Kim Butcher. Guest knights who have jousted include Nicholas Stratigos, Herb Lemcool and Matt Spielman.

The audience selected CVS Health (CVS).

Positions closed/sold: Knight Transportation (KNX), Landauer (LDR), PRA Group (PRAA), US Physical Therapy (USPH)

The tracking portfolio has been updated at: https://www.manifestinvesting.com/dashboards/public/round-table

Rt poll 20161129

Value Line Low Total Return Screen (3/1/2013)

Companies of Interest

Normally we limit the list of companies to the highest annualized total return candidates that also have a first or second quintile quality ranking. I made an exception in this case for Southwest Airlines (LUV) because of the forecast boosts in this week’s updates — earning LUV a spot on the Materially Stronger part of the update.

Materially Stronger: Clean Harbors (CLH), CoStar Group (CSGP), Gartner (IT), Genessee & Wyoming (GWR), Jack in the Box (JACK), Southwest Airlines (LUV)

Materially Weaker: Arkansas Best (ABFS), Frontline (FRO), United Parcel Service (UPS)

Market Barometers

The Value Line low total return forecast is 7.2%, down slightly from 7.3% last week.

Although we could face a correction near-term, no alarms are sounding on the New Highs vs. New Lows trend … suggesting that protective measures are not yet necessary. The S&P 500 relative strength index has relaxed back to 55.9 after recently being in the overbought (>70) range. Be selective and with MIPAR at 7%, select high-quality and bias overall portfolio quality and financial strength to the higher end of long-term target ranges.